CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. He was excellent in his third season, but since then, his production has roughly been in line with that of Robby Anderson. Do you have a blog? These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. . Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. The three have career numbers that are comparable, and Holt and Wayne had the good fortune of playing with Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning) while winning Super Bowls. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. He's an easy Hall of Famer. Assessing Browns' FA needs. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Tight ends have relatively short careers, which makes projecting their Hall chances exceedingly difficult. The only player in the Hall of Fame primarily for his work as a punter is Ray Guy, and you could make a case that Hekker is on that track. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. His case is very strong for a first-ballot election. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Try selecting a different location. And as much as everyone loves Boldin, he was never dominant enough to keep his former teammate out of Canton. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. Sensing that many people might disagree with me, I decided to post a poll on Twitter. In his final college season, he had a nice 69 receptions for 1,394 yards and 12 touchdowns in 13 games as a redshirt sophomore. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. Nelson is one of seven players to start his career with two consecutive first-team All-Pro nods, a group that includes four Hall of Famers, Devin Hester and Keith Jackson. The 2020 No. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. Gurley was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and 2018, but he wasn't able to clinch a rushing title and didn't look like his old self last season. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. His time may come, but maybe not for a while. 8/16/2011. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. Gates numbers compare very favorably with those of the nine tight ends in the Hall. Hekker's case is interesting. Likely (70% to 99%): S Earl Thomas. On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. Not knowing anything else about Burrow beyond where and when he was drafted, his Hall of Fame chances before starting his career come in by that small sample around 20%. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. Only two full-time kickers Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen are in the Hall of Fame, but it would be hard to see Vinatieri shut out given his accomplishments. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. Evans has a chance to continue making history in 2022. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Scouting reports | More draft coverage. Garrett has played at a much higher level than Mayfield, but the $125 million man has missed 11 of 48 games thanks to various injuries and his season-ending suspension in 2019. That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. As long as Willis gets in, Wagner could retire tomorrow and follow his former rival right through the front door. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Le'Veon Bell, LB C.J. Brown was arguably the NFLs best receiver from 2013-18 in Pittsburgh, but wasnt the same player after he left the Steelers. Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. Wentz's injury history this early in his career also doesn't bode well for his chances of playing deep into his 30s. Likely (70% to 99%): TE Rob Gronkowski. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. The site navigation utilizes arrow, enter, escape, and space bar key commands. Watt, with his three Defensive Player of the Year awards with the Texans, will for sure give Houston another Hall of Famer. Likely (70% to 99%): WR Michael Thomas. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats. Meanwhile on offense, receiver Allen Robinson's three-year, $46.5 million contract (signed last spring) comes with $15.2 million guaranteed in 2023. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. Players the Jaguars could target He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. He has stayed healthy and productive, so that hasn't been the issue. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. He was on the All-2000s team, a three-time first team All-Pro and made eight Pro Bowls. Fitzpatrick went from getting benched for the Dolphins in Week 1 to becoming a first-team All-Pro after his arrival in Pittsburgh; another year like 2019 will push him into Watt territory. Itll be interesting to see if his postseason prowess carries him, as it arguably did Lynn Swann in his eventual election. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. The former star wide receiver on Thursday was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist in as many years of eligibility. I haven't included players who I believe have no more than a 10% chance of making it into the Hall. When a group consists of you and Jerry Rice, you've done something right. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. But history suggests that his on-field performance makes him a Hall of Fame lock. Former Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly, ex-Giants quarterback Eli Manning, ex-Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs and longtime Patriots/Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri are the notables on the 2025 ballot. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. Both are locks for election. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Kittle is the best all-around tight end in football right now, and if you could tell me this minute that he would have a 12-year career, I'd expect him to be a Hall of Famer. What do Johnsons future prospects look like? Partner with Us Back. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. Judging safeties on interceptions is stupid, but we haven't evolved beyond that point. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Or write about sports? That wide receiver is Detroit Lions great Calvin Johnson. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. Bosa's case is trickier, in part because he missed four games in 2016 and nine games in 2018 with injuries. Heres what you need to know. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, LB Lavonte David. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. The reason Jackson is in this section and Fuller is in the next group is that Jackson has made two Pro Bowls in three seasons while Fuller has two across six years. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Graham has five Pro Bowls to his name, but I don't think he has done enough to earn a gold jacket. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. He will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. Since 1970, 55 players who are eligible for Canton have hit that 8+2 mark, and 52 of them earned enshrinement. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. He needs to have a second act and have another selling point -- either winning a Super Bowl, competing for another MVP award or making it to a handful of Pro Bowls -- to have a viable path to a gold jacket. Williams needs a couple of high-profile seasons as the best left tackle in football, which is tough with Tyron Smith around. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. He has been phenomenal while winning one Super Bowl, and came within an interception of winning a second, but he has also never been considered the best quarterback in football or garnered a single MVP vote. Smith-Schuster had a down 2019 season amid injuries and terrible quarterback play; he should bounce back to his 1,426-yard form from 2018. Just nine tight ends are enshrined, and Kelce's game leans more toward receiving than any of them. Adam Vinatieri will eventually join Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen, but those guys averaged 22 seasons in the league. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. He's the second-most productive receiver in football history. But playing on so many bad Eagles teams delayed his entry into the Hall of Fame. Lewan has three Pro Bowls. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Podcast: Stat superlatives If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. Hes too similar to other Hall-of-Famers and future Hall-of-Famers not to be taken seriously. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. One issue: Five of those six are running backs, with Randy Moss as the only exception. Guy made only one Pro Bowl after turning 30, and Hekker probably needs a couple more All-Pro appearances to earn serious consideration. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. It's tough to rack up interceptions in the modern NFL, but Peters has 27 since entering the league, nine more than any other player. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). His PFR Hall of Fame score of 94.2 ranks ahead of several wide receivers already in the Hall of Fame, including Michael Irvin, Art Monk, Andre Reed and Lynn Swann. Ryan's case is trickier. Thomas now has three Pro Bowls and two first-team All-Pro nods in four years, and while there might be some sort of drop-off if Brees retires, the Ohio State product did just fine with Teddy Bridgewater on the field in 2019. Elliott should be a prohibitive favorite to get in. Regardless of age, Evans has had an impressive start to his career. Buy Seahawks Tickets. Charley Taylor. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. Likely (70% to 99%): DT Geno Atkins. In fact, a future Hall of Fame wide receiver recently revealed that Rodgers tried to recruit him over to the Packers. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Watt is off to a dominant start, having racked up 34.5 sacks over three seasons while earning two Pro Bowl nods and a first-team All-Pro berth last season. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. He followed that by posting a passer rating of 135.3 in the playoffs, which was the second-best mark in league history for a quarterback with at least 75 attempts. A Super Bowl victory would probably help. Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. If McCaffrey can piece together even two more seasons at his 2019 level and add two or three more like his 2018 campaign, that might be enough to make it to the Hall of Fame. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Chandler Jones. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. For a list of other positions, click here. Last season, Thomas became the second wide receiver to win Offensive Player of the Year. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. Left and right arrows move across top level links and expand / close menus in sub levels. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Baker Mayfield, DE Myles Garrett.

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